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IPCC rapport geeft aan: uitstel maakt kosten klimaatbeleid hoger

2 november 2014 in In de media

Het is mogelijk de opwarming van de aarde te beperken tot 2 graden Celsius, maar daarvoor moet haast worden gemaakt. De gevolgen van klimaatverandering zijn wereldwijd al zichtbaar en zullen in de toekomst alleen maar groter worden. Hoe langer wordt gewacht met het verminderen van de uitstoot van broeikasgassen, hoe groter de uitdagingen worden om deze gevolgen het hoofd te bieden. Uitstel betekent ook een kleinere kans op succes en hogere kosten van maatregelen tegen klimaatverandering.

Dat staat in het syntheserapport van het VN-Klimaatpanel IPCC, dat vandaag is uitgekomen. In dit syntheserapport zijn nieuwe conclusies getrokken op basis van de kennis van de drie eerder verschenen delen van het vijfde IPCC rapport. Het rapport vormt een bijdrage aan nieuwe internationale klimaatafspraken die eind volgend jaar in Parijs moeten worden gemaakt.

 

Download hier de samenvatting (PDF, 4 MB)

http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/syr/SYR_AR5_SPM.pdf

 

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Haast geboden voor beperking opwarming tot 2°C
Het is nu nog mogelijk om de mondiale opwarming te beperken tot 2°C. Hiervoor is het wel nodig dat alle landen samen de netto uitstoot van broeikasgassen in 2050 met 40-70% terug hebben gebracht, en aan het eind van de eeuw geheel tot nul. Dit brengt grote economische, technologische en bestuurlijke uitdagingen met zich mee. Hoe langer hiermee wordt gewacht, hoe groter de uitdagingen worden. Er is geen eenduidige en eenvoudige oplossing. Hiervoor is een combinatie nodig van publieke en private investeringen, innovatie, effectief bestuur en veranderingen in levensstijl.

Terugdringen uitstoot cruciaal, aanpassing aan klimaatverandering onvermijdelijk
Het kosteneffectief terugdringen van broeikasgasemissies kan door een combinatie van energiebesparing, gebruik van alternatieve energiebronnen, voorkomen van ontbossing en maatregelen om niet-CO2 emissies te voorkomen. Dit levert vaak bijkomende voordelen op, zoals meer zekerheid in energievoorziening, betere luchtkwaliteit en een duurzame economie. Daarnaast is echter aanpassing aan klimaatverandering onvermijdelijk. Een voorbeeld van aanpassing is de vergroening van steden, wat kan leiden tot lager energie- en waterverbruik, wat kostenbesparing en positieve effecten op de gezondheid teweeg kan brengen.

Het klimaat verandert
Sinds de periode 1850-1900 is de gemiddelde temperatuur van de aarde met 0,9°C gestegen. Door de voortgaande uitstoot van broeikasgassen zal naar verwachting wereldwijd de temperatuur blijven stijgen, zonder klimaatbeleid zelfs mogelijk met enkele graden gedurende deze eeuw. Hierdoor neemt het risico van onomkeerbare of abrupte veranderingen in samenlevingen en natuurlijke systemen toe.

De zeespiegel is 19 cm gestegen ten opzichte van 1900 en zal gedurende deze eeuw doorstijgen, zelfs wanneer de uitstoot van broeikasgassen geheel gestopt wordt. Als de uitstoot doorgaat, is de stijging aanzienlijk hoger. Verdere opwarming leidt naar verwachting tot meer extreme weersomstandigheden, zoals zware buien en hittegolven, aantasting van de natuur en de voedselvoorziening, ondermijning van de energiezekerheid en meer conflicten en migratie.

Internationale afspraken zijn nu nodig
De landen van de VN hebben afgesproken te proberen de wereldwijde temperatuurstijging te beperken tot 2°C ten opzichte van 1850. In EU-verband zijn onlangs nieuwe klimaat- en energiedoelen voor 2030 overeengekomen. Mondiaal is afgesproken om in 2015 in Parijs tot een nieuw klimaatakkoord te komen. Het nu vastgestelde Syntheserapport benadrukt de urgentie van nieuwe internationale afspraken en versterking van beleid op nationaal niveau. De toekomst is nu.

Nederland werkt aan nieuw klimaatbeleid
Nederland heeft in oktober 2013 een Klimaatagenda uitgebracht waarmee klimaatverandering wordt aangepakt door een combinatie van terugbrengen van de uitstoot van broeikasgassen en aanpassen aan klimaatverandering. In Nederland zijn de uitkomsten van eerdere IPCC-rapporten gebruikt voor de nieuwe KNMI klimaatscenario’s. De IPCC resultaten en de KNMI scenario’s vormen ook een belangrijke basis voor het ontwikkelen van de Nationale Adaptatie Strategie die in 2016 gereed zal zijn.

Nederlandse bijdrage aan IPCC proces
Het Syntheserapport van IPCC is deze week in Kopenhagen vastgesteld door wetenschappers en beleidsmakers uit 115 landen. Hiermee is het vijfde Assessment Report compleet. De eerdere rapporten gingen over 1) de natuurwetenschappelijke basis van klimaatverandering, 2) de effecten ervan op mens en natuur en de mogelijkheden voor aanpassing, en 3) de opties om de uitstoot van broeikasgassen te verminderen; zij zijn in het najaar van 2013 en het voorjaar van 2014 al verschenen. Aan het syntheserapport hebben  wetenschappers van  het Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving (PBL) meegeschreven; Prof dr. Detlef van Vuuren was een van de hoofdauteurs. Daarnaast huisvestte het PBL het team van  wetenschappers dat de totstandkoming van het Syntheserapport heeft gecoördineerd. Dit team stond onder leiding van Dr Leo Meyer.

Contact
Voor meer informatie kunt u contact opnemen met Persvoorlichting (070-3288688 of persvoorlichting@pbl.nl).

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This is getting a bit more subjective, but I much prefer the Zune Marketplace. The interface is colorful, has more flair, and some cool features like ‘Mixview’ that let you quickly see related albums, songs, or other users related to what you’re listening to. Clicking on one of those will center on that item, and another set of “neighbors” will come into view, allowing you to navigate around exploring by similar artists, songs, or users. Speaking of users, the Zune “Social” is also great fun, letting you find others with shared tastes and becoming friends with them. You then can listen to a playlist created based on an amalgamation of what all your friends are listening to, which is also enjoyable. Those concerned with privacy will be relieved to know you can prevent the public from seeing your personal listening habits if you so choose.

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This is getting a bit more subjective, but I much prefer the Zune Marketplace. The interface is colorful, has more flair, and some cool features like ‘Mixview’ that let you quickly see related albums, songs, or other users related to what you’re listening to. Clicking on one of those will center on that item, and another set of “neighbors” will come into view, allowing you to navigate around exploring by similar artists, songs, or users. Speaking of users, the Zune “Social” is also great fun, letting you find others with shared tastes and becoming friends with them. You then can listen to a playlist created based on an amalgamation of what all your friends are listening to, which is also enjoyable. Those concerned with privacy will be relieved to know you can prevent the public from seeing your personal listening habits if you so choose.

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Hands down, Apple’s app store wins using a mile. It’s a plethora of all sorts of apps vs a very sad number of a handful for Zune. Microsoft has plans, particularly the arena of games, but I’m not sure I’d need to bet about the future if it aspect is essential to you. The iPod is often a much better choice therefore.

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Between me and my husband we’ve owned more MP3 players over the years than I can count, including Sansas, iRivers, iPods (classic & touch), the Ibiza Rhapsody, etc. But, the last few years I’ve settled down to one line of players. Why? Because I was happy to discover how well-designed and fun to use the underappreciated (and widely mocked) Zunes are.

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